Recent Calculations

Latest calculations from the blog - Page 2

New York to Los Angeles: The Lowest-Energy Way to Travel?

New York to Los Angeles: The Lowest-Energy Way to Travel?

A 10 km commute by car uses far more energy per passenger than a bus — unless the bus is nearly empty. We break down energy intensity (MJ per passenger-km) across eleven transportation modes, from walking to electric cars to rockets, then apply it to one real trip — New York to Los Angeles, about 3,940 km (2,450 mi) — to see which one actually wins, and how badly occupancy and grid mix can reverse the rankings.

If a Global Flood Diluted the Ocean, Why Is It Still Salty? Three Models, and a Verdict for the Fish

If a Global Flood Diluted the Ocean, Why Is It Still Salty? Three Models, and a Verdict for the Fish

If the whole world flooded with fresh water, why would the ocean still end up salty? We run three models side by side — a fixed-geography dilute-then-recover model, a Pangaea / catastrophic-tectonics back-calculation, and a third that asks whether the flood water itself was fresh or salty to begin with. None of the nine resulting scenarios leaves a salinity band where freshwater and saltwater fish could both survive.

How Many People Are Awake Right Now? And When Are the Most People Awake?

How Many People Are Awake Right Now? And When Are the Most People Awake?

By mapping 8.11 billion people across 26 UTC time zones and overlaying a sinusoidal sleep-wake model, we calculate the global wakefulness curve. The peak hits UTC 06:12 — London 6 a.m., New York 1 a.m. — at roughly 5.9 billion awake, because India and China together account for 39% of humanity. Even at the trough (UTC 18:12), 2.7 billion people are still up. The swing ratio is 2.2×.

The Math of Soulmates: 13,400× Harder Than the Lottery — or Basically Inevitable?

The Math of Soulmates: 13,400× Harder Than the Lottery — or Basically Inevitable?

Two numbers, two completely opposite stories. The odds that one specific person out of 109 billion historical humans is your pre-assigned partner: about 13,400 times worse than winning the lottery. The realistic expected count of compatible people you'll actually meet in a lifetime: roughly 50 — with the probability of meeting at least one rounding to 1.000.